BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Kestrel In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontGeneralists

American Kestrel in Piedmont has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-47%Since 1968
101Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for American Kestrel in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Kestrel in Piedmont is projected to fall about 83% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-83%Change by 2029
0.03Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2895% range
±61.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.060.000.32
20260.050.000.31
20270.050.000.30
20280.040.000.29
20290.030.000.28

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording American Kestrel in Piedmont.
Church RoadVIRGINIA41978
CollegevillePENNSYLVANIA32005
Mount JoyPENNSYLVANIA32024
AkronPENNSYLVANIA31997
Brick TavernPENNSYLVANIA32024
Taylorstown 2VIRGINIA32018
FairplayGEORGIA21991
SiloamGEORGIA21980
Holly SprsGEORGIA21980
CrotonNEW-JERSEY22001
Croton 2NEW-JERSEY22017
Doe RunPENNSYLVANIA22024
LeolaPENNSYLVANIA22023
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA21998
CovesvilleVIRGINIA21981
ShipmanVIRGINIA21987
HallVIRGINIA21990
WylliesburgVIRGINIA21991
MillervilleALABAMA11970
LincolntonGEORGIA11975
MaxeysGEORGIA12003
AthensGEORGIA12024
BaldwinGEORGIA11990
GrovetownGEORGIA11981
RutledgeGEORGIA11987

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.