BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Kestrel In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

American Kestrel in Central Hardwoods has held roughly steady: up 8% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+8%Since 1968
143Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for American Kestrel in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Kestrel in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.59–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.59–1.595% range
±17.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.601.5
20261.00.601.5
20271.00.591.5
20281.00.591.5
20291.00.591.5

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording American Kestrel in Central Hardwoods.
MorganfieldKENTUCKY222024
GlenTENNESSEE92024
MerrimacKENTUCKY82024
EvansvilleINDIANA72022
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE72024
Kings MtnKENTUCKY62024
LeveeKENTUCKY51982
EastviewKENTUCKY52024
ShelbyvilleKENTUCKY51978
GlencoeKENTUCKY52022
CampbellsvilleTENNESSEE52019
CelestineINDIANA42024
NewberryINDIANA42024
Cross PlainsINDIANA42024
CantonKENTUCKY42024
KeysburgKENTUCKY42024
Iron BridgeKENTUCKY41998
PlumKENTUCKY42024
CentertonARKANSAS32022
BrownvilleILLINOIS32024
Indian SpgsINDIANA32024
GeorgiaINDIANA32024
Cedar GroveKENTUCKY32024
MillionKENTUCKY31986
DemunbrunsKENTUCKY32021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.