BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Kestrel In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieGeneralists

American Kestrel in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+4%Since 1968
270Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for American Kestrel in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Kestrel in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.65–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+11%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.65–1.895% range
±26.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.621.8
20261.20.631.8
20271.20.641.8
20281.20.641.8
20291.20.651.8

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording American Kestrel in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
KunkleOHIO92024
ChandlervillILLINOIS82024
MelroseILLINOIS81999
MadisonMISSOURI82024
SextonINDIANA72024
MonticelloILLINOIS62024
FloraILLINOIS62024
DarrtownOHIO62021
GalvestonINDIANA52024
BrookvilleINDIANA52024
Witts StationINDIANA52024
West LibertyIOWA52024
Rock Creek 2KANSAS52022
FrankfordMISSOURI52022
WilmingtonOHIO51995
GulfportILLINOIS42024
Deer CreekILLINOIS42023
ConcordILLINOIS42024
SenecaILLINOIS42024
Duncan MillsILLINOIS42024
Le RoyILLINOIS42023
AthensILLINOIS42023
W LafayetteINDIANA42024
SwayzeeINDIANA42023
Mt HamillIOWA42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.