Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Kestrel In Oaks and Prairies
American Kestrel in Oaks and Prairies has declined: down 27% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-27%Since 1969
33Routes In Region
49Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for American Kestrel in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Kestrel in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-9%Change by 2029
0.06Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1795% range
±50.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2026 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2027 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2028 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2029 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Dallas | TEXAS | 3 | 2023 |
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 1968 |
| Beggs | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2023 |
| Bartlesville | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2022 |
| Heyburn | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2019 |
| Duncan | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2006 |
| Lockhart | TEXAS | 2 | 1982 |
| Dike | TEXAS | 2 | 2014 |
| Henrietta | TEXAS | 2 | 2005 |
| Bruceville | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Mill Creek | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 1975 |
| Ardmore | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 1994 |
| Choctaw | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2005 |
| Noble | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2012 |
| Barnsdall | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 1972 |
| Tatums | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2022 |
| Skiatook | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2005 |
| Lone Oak | TEXAS | 1 | 2000 |
| Weatherford | TEXAS | 1 | 2022 |
| Graford | TEXAS | 1 | 2017 |
| Cottonwood | TEXAS | 1 | 1984 |
| Albany | TEXAS | 1 | 1999 |
| Miller Grove | TEXAS | 1 | 2016 |
| Wolfe City | TEXAS | 1 | 1973 |
| Rhome | TEXAS | 1 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.