BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Crow In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has increased: up 31% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+31%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

American Crow In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 46 (95% range 27–64). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
46Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
27–6495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 46 (95% range 27–64). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026462765
2027462765
2028462765
2029462764
2030462764

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
SmyrnaTEXAS1172010
DerryLOUISIANA1101989
DibollTEXAS992025
IvanLOUISIANA972013
CaledoniaTEXAS932025
BlancoOKLAHOMA922016
LockesburgARKANSAS852019
Mt. SelmanTEXAS762025
Mount UnionLOUISIANA712025
ChandlerTEXAS712004
Burr FerryLOUISIANA672025
StampsARKANSAS662024
Chandler 2TEXAS652024
HollywoodARKANSAS642024
FillmoreLOUISIANA621989
PhillipsOKLAHOMA622025
CrossroadsTEXAS612025
WechesTEXAS612025
CartervilleLOUISIANA601992
GoodwillLOUISIANA592025
LivingstonTEXAS582025
Liberty HillTEXAS562025
BlakelyARKANSAS551999
Coal HillARKANSAS542023
WomackLOUISIANA542025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.