BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Crow In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has increased: up 25% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+25%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
110Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

American Crow In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 40 in 2024 to a central estimate of 46 (95% range 27–65). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+15%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
46Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
27–6595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±41.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 40 in 2024 to a central estimate of 46 (95% range 27–65). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025462865
2026462865
2027462865
2028462865
2029462765

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording American Crow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
SmyrnaTEXAS1172010
DerryLOUISIANA1101989
IvanLOUISIANA972013
Mount UnionLOUISIANA922024
BlancoOKLAHOMA922016
MatoyOKLAHOMA872000
LockesburgARKANSAS852019
Burr FerryLOUISIANA822024
Mt. SelmanTEXAS792024
Ivan 2LOUISIANA762016
Liberty HillTEXAS732023
ChandlerTEXAS712004
GoodwillLOUISIANA702024
CaledoniaTEXAS702024
StampsARKANSAS662024
Chandler 2TEXAS652024
Smyrna 2TEXAS652023
HollywoodARKANSAS642024
FillmoreLOUISIANA621989
CartervilleLOUISIANA601992
LongstreetLOUISIANA582024
StarkARKANSAS572024
BlakelyARKANSAS551999
Coal HillARKANSAS542023
Fort JessupLOUISIANA542023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.