BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Crow In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGeneralists

American Crow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has declined: down 28% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-28%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
128Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

American Crow In Central Mixed Grass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 9.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 2.8–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±26.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 9.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 2.8–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025113.019
2026113.019
2027112.919
2028112.919
2029112.819

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording American Crow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
KanopolisKANSAS982024
ChesterOKLAHOMA681988
Jewell 2KANSAS422024
WilliamsTEXAS412024
CovertKANSAS402024
ColdwaterKANSAS372022
GrimesOKLAHOMA362024
LibertyNEBRASKA352003
Liberty 3NEBRASKA352024
PhrosoOKLAHOMA352024
DaltonKANSAS342024
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA301994
HanoverKANSAS282023
VerdenOKLAHOMA282017
WellingtonKANSAS252024
Red CloudNEBRASKA252024
ChapmanKANSAS221981
Eagle CityOKLAHOMA212010
Liberty 2NEBRASKA202007
TegardenOKLAHOMA202016
BuckeyeKANSAS192023
BassettNEBRASKA182024
CashionOKLAHOMA182024
HollenbergKANSAS172023
DouglasOKLAHOMA172022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.