Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Crow In Shortgrass Prairie
American Crow in Shortgrass Prairie has collapsed: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-84%Since 1969
99Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
American Crow has collapsed in Shortgrass Prairie: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 0.71 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.48 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±93%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-32%Change by 2029
0.48Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.195% range
±93%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2028 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
| Hooker | OKLAHOMA | 35 | 2017 |
| Gordon Creek | COLORADO | 27 | 2018 |
| Waka | TEXAS | 26 | 2018 |
| Kermit | TEXAS | 24 | 1999 |
| Campo | COLORADO | 20 | 2018 |
| Fleming | COLORADO | 15 | 1999 |
| Crawford | NEBRASKA | 14 | 2024 |
| Hudson | COLORADO | 10 | 2003 |
| Elbert | COLORADO | 10 | 2024 |
| Edler | COLORADO | 8 | 2011 |
| Wildhorse L | COLORADO | 7 | 2012 |
| Pine Ridge | NEBRASKA | 6 | 2024 |
| Wagon Mound | NEW-MEXICO | 6 | 1973 |
| Hay Springs | NEBRASKA | 5 | 2024 |
| Brownson | NEBRASKA | 5 | 2021 |
| Floyd | NEW-MEXICO | 5 | 2024 |
| Hardesty | OKLAHOMA | 5 | 2002 |
| Texline | TEXAS | 5 | 2007 |
| Doyle Bridge | COLORADO | 4 | 1995 |
| Bennett | COLORADO | 4 | 2005 |
| Clear Lake | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 2024 |
| Frankel City | TEXAS | 4 | 1994 |
| Kiowa | COLORADO | 3 | 2018 |
| Amherst | COLORADO | 3 | 2022 |
| Ulysses | KANSAS | 3 | 2003 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.