Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Crow In Sierra Nevada
American Crow in Sierra Nevada has surged: up 88% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
+88%Since 1974
18Routes In Region
51Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
American Crow has surged in Sierra Nevada: up 87% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Sierra Nevada is projected to fall about 59% by 2029 — from 2.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.00–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-59%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.995% range
±51.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.9 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.9 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.9 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.9 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.9 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Hat Creek | CALIFORNIA | 20 | 2016 |
| Chilcoot | CALIFORNIA | 19 | 2024 |
| Paxton | CALIFORNIA | 18 | 2024 |
| Higgins Corn | CALIFORNIA | 11 | 2024 |
| Silver City | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2003 |
| Lakeshore | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1984 |
| Greenhorn Mt | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2006 |
| Sattley | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2013 |
| Meadow Valley | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Little Truckee | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2007 |
| Forest Hill 2 | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2005 |
| Dardanelle | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1980 |
| Johnsville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1990 |
| Woodfords | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Tuolumne Grove | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1980 |
| Genesee | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Downieville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2007 |
| Pollock Pines | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1997 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.