BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Coot In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieWetland birds

American Coot in Gulf Coastal Prairie has collapsed: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-87%Since 1971
32Routes In Region
49Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

American Coot has collapsed in Gulf Coastal Prairie: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Coot in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 404% by 2028 — from 0.91 in 2023 to a central estimate of 4.6 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2021.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+404%Change by 2028
4.6Projected 2028 index
0.00–1695% range
±2021.9%Backtest error
19672028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20244.40.0015
20254.40.0015
20264.50.0015
20274.60.0016
20284.60.0016

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording American Coot in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Gran ChenierLOUISIANA1341971
Loyola BeachTEXAS202008
L. Atascosa NwrTEXAS202023
Bayside 3TEXAS152018
BaysideTEXAS121996
IndianolaTEXAS92012
WinnieTEXAS71996
Forked Island 2LOUISIANA62011
Moon Lake 2TEXAS42021
Padre Island PaisTEXAS42015
DanburyTEXAS32019
KatyTEXAS32013
Moon LakeTEXAS32011
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS32022
CreoleLOUISIANA21977
MauriceLOUISIANA22001
Ltl Chenier 2LOUISIANA22010
WoodlawnLOUISIANA22017
Lag AtascosaTEXAS22016
PetronilaTEXAS21970
Hinkles FerTEXAS22013
Bayside 2TEXAS22000
HackberryLOUISIANA11973
KaplanLOUISIANA12013
RichardLOUISIANA12017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.