Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Bittern In Central Mixed Grass Prairie
American Bittern in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 545% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
+545%Since 1972
17Routes In Region
51Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
American Bittern has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 545% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Bittern in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 0.27 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.01–0.42). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-19%Change by 2029
0.22Projected 2029 index
0.01–0.4295% range
±48.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| 2026 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.41 |
| 2027 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
| 2028 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
| 2029 | 0.22 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie
| Wheeler Co | NEBRASKA | 8 | 2024 |
| Bassett | NEBRASKA | 6 | 2024 |
| Albert | KANSAS | 4 | 2019 |
| Douglas | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 1987 |
| Gray | KANSAS | 3 | 1994 |
| Kennedy | NEBRASKA | 3 | 2024 |
| Crescent Lk | NEBRASKA | 3 | 2016 |
| Swan Lake | NEBRASKA | 2 | 2022 |
| Coats | KANSAS | 1 | 1979 |
| Buckeye | KANSAS | 1 | 1974 |
| Kearney | NEBRASKA | 1 | 1974 |
| Surprise | NEBRASKA | 1 | 1972 |
| Piester Lake | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2023 |
| Brownlee | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2024 |
| Mullen | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2017 |
| Nenzel | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2022 |
| Jet | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.