BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Barn Owl In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsGeneralists

American Barn Owl in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has declined: down 27% on the route-weighted index since 1981.

-27%Since 1981
11Routes In Region
18Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for American Barn Owl in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Barn Owl in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to stay roughly flat through 2026, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2026
0.02Projected 2026 index
0.00–0.0995% range
±32.6%Backtest error
19742026
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20220.030.000.10
20230.030.000.10
20240.030.000.09
20250.020.000.09
20260.020.000.09

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording American Barn Owl in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
Coachella CnCALIFORNIA32000
Gila BendARIZONA22001
Casa GrandeARIZONA22009
OnyxCALIFORNIA21993
DatelandARIZONA12016
Palo VerdeARIZONA12008
InyokernCALIFORNIA12017
NilandCALIFORNIA12011
Alamo RiverCALIFORNIA12018
Kelso ValleyCALIFORNIA11994
Willow Springs 2CALIFORNIA12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.