BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Alder Flycatcher In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionAerial insectivores

Alder Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition has increased: up 35% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+35%Since 1968
113Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Alder Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Alder Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 161% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.38–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±102.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+161%Change by 2029
0.74Projected 2029 index
0.38–1.195% range
±102.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.720.361.1
20260.730.371.1
20270.730.371.1
20280.740.381.1
20290.740.381.1

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Alder Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
MerrillWISCONSIN62024
GilmantonWISCONSIN52010
EvergreenMINNESOTA42024
Brook ParkMINNESOTA42024
LoraineWISCONSIN42021
GrimmsWISCONSIN42021
OmroWISCONSIN32001
Buena VistaWISCONSIN32022
Big RapidsMICHIGAN21990
St CharlesMICHIGAN21986
No BradleyMICHIGAN21994
FowlervilleMICHIGAN22018
AdairMICHIGAN21992
Chippewa Lk.MICHIGAN22023
MillvilleMINNESOTA22017
KnappMINNESOTA22004
DresserWISCONSIN22023
CumberlandWISCONSIN22024
WeyerhauserWISCONSIN22024
HolwayWISCONSIN21988
HatfieldWISCONSIN21997
MatherWISCONSIN22023
Stevens PtWISCONSIN22022
EdenWISCONSIN22024
Mount HorebWISCONSIN21983

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.