BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Acadian Flycatcher In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionAerial insectivores

Acadian Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 259% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+259%Since 1969
67Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Acadian Flycatcher has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 259% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Acadian Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.34 (95% range 0.23–0.45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2029
0.34Projected 2029 index
0.23–0.4595% range
±16.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.320.210.43
20260.330.220.43
20270.330.220.44
20280.340.230.44
20290.340.230.45

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Acadian Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
NashvilleMICHIGAN112024
MontereyMICHIGAN112024
AlmenaMICHIGAN62015
PackertownINDIANA52004
DeckervilleMICHIGAN51984
New BuffaloMICHIGAN52014
Belding 2MICHIGAN32024
Barry S.G.A.MICHIGAN32012
Barry S.G.A. 2MICHIGAN32019
CascoWISCONSIN32002
GuilfordILLINOIS21999
South BendINDIANA21990
EllisINDIANA22024
LawrenceMICHIGAN22022
BravoMICHIGAN22022
JuniataMICHIGAN22009
PettysvilleMICHIGAN21973
AdairMICHIGAN21991
MillvilleMINNESOTA22016
NapoleonOHIO21972
N AndoverWISCONSIN22022
KnoxINDIANA12023
KewannaINDIANA12021
MiddleburyINDIANA12022
Columbia CtyINDIANA12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.