Guild · Rhode Island · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Aerial Insectivores In Rhode Island
11 species in this guild. As a group they are +72% since 1968.
Guild Signals
No notable trend signals for aerial insectivores in Rhode Island. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Aerial insectivores in Rhode Island is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 5.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.4 (95% range 3.5–9.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+19%Change by 2029
6.4Projected 2029 index
3.5–9.495% range
±12.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 9.2 |
| 2026 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 9.2 |
| 2027 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 9.3 |
| 2028 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 9.3 |
| 2029 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 9.4 |
Member Species In Rhode Island
| Least Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | -91% |
| Tree Swallow | Hirundinidae | -60% |
| Eastern Kingbird | Tyrannidae | -33% |
| Barn Swallow | Hirundinidae | -23% |
| Northern Rough-winged Swallow | Hirundinidae | -17% |
| Purple Martin | Hirundinidae | -6% |
| Willow Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | +15% |
| Eastern Phoebe | Tyrannidae | +68% |
| Chimney Swift | Apodidae | +144% |
| Eastern Wood-Pewee | Tyrannidae | +146% |
| Great Crested Flycatcher | Tyrannidae | +295% |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.