BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wilson's Snipe In BCR 2

All regionsBCR 2Shorebirds

Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2 has held roughly steady: down 2% on the route-weighted index since 1985.

-2%Since 1985TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
41YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2. See the full index history below.

Wilson's Snipe In BCR 2 Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 8.5–30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+23%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.5–3095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±26.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 8.5–30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19832029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025198.330
2026198.330
2027198.430
2028198.430
2029198.530

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
NomeALASKA972023
TupuknukALASKA471995
King SalmonALASKA302024
Selawik (Short)ALASKA301987
Kugarak (Short)ALASKA251987
Gweek RiverALASKA232002
Salmon LakeALASKA212024
KodiakALASKA191984
CouncilALASKA192024
DillinghamALASKA162019
TellerALASKA162024
Kodiak 2ALASKA142024
Goodnews BayALASKA142005
St. Mary'SALASKA132014
ChiniakALASKA122024
KotzebueALASKA122024
Dillingham (Short)ALASKA111984
Cape NomeALASKA102024
Cold BayALASKA82024
Katmai N.P.ALASKA42022
Togiak RiverALASKA42005
Kanektok RivALASKA42005
Kotzebue (Short)ALASKA41994
Cold Bay (Short)ALASKA31992

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.