BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wilson's Snipe In BCR 2

All regionsBCR 2Shorebirds

Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2 has held roughly steady: down 3% on the route-weighted index since 1985.

-3%Since 1985TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
42YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2. See the full index history below.

Wilson's Snipe In BCR 2 Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 30% by 2030 — from 15 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 8.0–30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+30%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.0–3095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±30.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 30% by 2030 — from 15 in 2025 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 8.0–30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19832030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026197.930
2027197.930
2028198.030
2029198.030
2030198.030

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording Wilson's Snipe in BCR 2.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
NomeALASKA972023
TupuknukALASKA471995
Selawik (Short)ALASKA301987
Kugarak (Short)ALASKA251987
Cold BayALASKA242025
Gweek RiverALASKA232002
ChiniakALASKA222025
Salmon LakeALASKA212024
KodiakALASKA191984
King SalmonALASKA192025
CouncilALASKA192024
DillinghamALASKA162019
TellerALASKA162024
Goodnews BayALASKA142005
St. Mary'SALASKA132014
KotzebueALASKA122025
Dillingham (Short)ALASKA111984
Cape NomeALASKA102024
Kodiak 2ALASKA82025
Togiak RiverALASKA42005
Kanektok RivALASKA42005
Kotzebue (Short)ALASKA41994
Cold Bay (Short)ALASKA31992
Katmai N.P.ALASKA22025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.