BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wilson's Snipe In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesShorebirds

Wilson's Snipe in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1971.

18×Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
94Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Wilson's Snipe has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Wilson's Snipe In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 18% by 2030 — from 1.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.4–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.3Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.4–3.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 18% by 2030 — from 1.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.4–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.11.33.0
20272.21.33.0
20282.21.43.0
20292.21.43.1
20302.31.43.1

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Wilson's Snipe in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA182025
Two DotMONTANA172025
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA142024
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA142024
HighwoodMONTANA122025
Glen UllinNORTH-DAKOTA122025
Winifred 2MONTANA102025
LindsayMONTANA92024
CarsonNORTH-DAKOTA92025
DaytonWYOMING92025
ShawmutMONTANA82025
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA82025
BrusettMONTANA72011
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA72025
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA72025
RevaSOUTH-DAKOTA72025
LacreekSOUTH-DAKOTA72025
FlatwillowMONTANA62008
ForsythMONTANA62018
LocateMONTANA52024
AlbionMONTANA52001
RoyMONTANA42025
St XavierMONTANA42010
WinifredMONTANA42023
OttumwaSOUTH-DAKOTA42019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.