BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wilson's Phalarope In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieShorebirds

Wilson's Phalarope in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has risen sharply: up 52% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+52%Since 1969
16Routes In Region
52Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Wilson's Phalarope has risen sharply in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 52% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Phalarope in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to fall about 29% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±72.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-29%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7995% range
±72.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.100.000.81
20260.100.000.80
20270.100.000.80
20280.090.000.79
20290.090.000.79

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Wilson's Phalarope in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
StrattonNEBRASKA102016
Wheeler CoNEBRASKA42024
ArthurNEBRASKA22024
Crescent LkNEBRASKA22014
MullenNEBRASKA22017
AlbertKANSAS12019
MisslerKANSAS11996
Swan LakeNEBRASKA12023
JohnstownNEBRASKA11995
Piester LakeNEBRASKA12019
KennedyNEBRASKA12024
TableNEBRASKA12016
GordonNEBRASKA12016
BrownleeNEBRASKA12017
NenzelNEBRASKA12022
BassettNEBRASKA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.