Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Willet In Southeastern Coastal Plain
Willet in Southeastern Coastal Plain has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-82%Since 1968
20Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Willet has collapsed in Southeastern Coastal Plain: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Willet in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 35% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±158.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-35%Change by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1595% range
±158.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2026 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| 2028 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| 2029 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain
| St Vincent I | FLORIDA | 8 | 2024 |
| Port St Joe | FLORIDA | 2 | 2013 |
| Santa Rosa | FLORIDA | 2 | 2003 |
| Merrimon | NORTH-CAROLINA | 2 | 2023 |
| Johns Isle | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 2 | 1971 |
| Dauphin Is | ALABAMA | 1 | 1990 |
| Alabama Pt | ALABAMA | 1 | 1981 |
| Dauphin Is 2 | ALABAMA | 1 | 2014 |
| Alabama Pt 2 | ALABAMA | 1 | 2011 |
| Ft Waltn Bch | FLORIDA | 1 | 2001 |
| Steinhatchee | FLORIDA | 1 | 2007 |
| Ft Gadsden | FLORIDA | 1 | 1976 |
| Alligator Pt | FLORIDA | 1 | 2015 |
| Cross City | FLORIDA | 1 | 2010 |
| Port St Joe 2 | FLORIDA | 1 | 2017 |
| Myrtle Grove | NORTH-CAROLINA | 1 | 2016 |
| Supply | NORTH-CAROLINA | 1 | 2024 |
| Newport | NORTH-CAROLINA | 1 | 2004 |
| Kiawah Island | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 1 | 2024 |
| Pungo | VIRGINIA | 1 | 1993 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.