Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Snowy Plover Population Trend in Utah
Snowy Plover in Utah has surged: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1993.
11×Since 1993
6Routes In State
30Years
Notable Snowy Plover Trends in Utah
long arc increasecomputed index
Snowy Plover has surged in Utah: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1993.
Snowy Plover Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Snowy Plover in Utah is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.80 (95% range 0.31–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±250.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-31%Change by 2029
0.80Projected 2029 index
0.31–1.395% range
±250.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.72 | 0.23 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.74 | 0.25 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.76 | 0.27 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 0.78 | 0.29 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.80 | 0.31 | 1.3 |
Snowy Plover Survey Routes in Utah
| Snowville | 52 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Callao | 17 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Notch Peak | 4 | 1999 | 1991 |
| E. Bear Lake | 2 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Promontory | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Bear River | 1 | 2017 | 1992 |
Snowy Plover Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.