BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Short-billed Dowitcher In BCR 2

All regionsBCR 2Shorebirds

Short-billed Dowitcher in BCR 2 has declined: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1993.

-50%Since 1993
8Routes In Region
30Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Short-billed Dowitcher in BCR 2. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Short-billed Dowitcher in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.41 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±222.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+23%Change by 2029
0.41Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±222.7%Backtest error
19842029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.430.001.3
20260.420.001.3
20270.420.001.3
20280.410.001.3
20290.410.001.3

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording Short-billed Dowitcher in BCR 2.
Gweek RiverALASKA42002
Cold BayALASKA22024
KodiakALASKA11984
ChiniakALASKA12022
King SalmonALASKA12024
Kodiak 2ALASKA12000
St. Mary'SALASKA11993
Goodnews BayALASKA12005

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.