Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Semipalmated Sandpiper In BCR 2
Semipalmated Sandpiper in BCR 2 has surged: up 183% on the route-weighted index since 1994.
+183%Since 1994
7Routes In Region
32Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Semipalmated Sandpiper has surged in BCR 2: up 183% on the route-weighted index since 1994.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Semipalmated Sandpiper in BCR 2 is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 8.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.4 (95% range 1.6–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±199.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-26%Change by 2029
6.4Projected 2029 index
1.6–1195% range
±199.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 11 |
| 2026 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 11 |
| 2027 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 11 |
| 2028 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 11 |
| 2029 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 11 |
Routes In BCR 2
| Cape Nome | ALASKA | 26 | 2024 |
| Salmon Lake | ALASKA | 18 | 2024 |
| Kotzebue (Short) | ALASKA | 16 | 1986 |
| Council | ALASKA | 15 | 2024 |
| Teller | ALASKA | 11 | 2024 |
| Kotzebue | ALASKA | 8 | 2024 |
| Nome | ALASKA | 2 | 2012 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.