BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-necked Phalarope In BCR 2

All regionsBCR 2Shorebirds

Red-necked Phalarope in BCR 2 has increased: up 34% on the route-weighted index since 1987.

+34%Since 1987
13Routes In Region
37Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Red-necked Phalarope in BCR 2. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-necked Phalarope in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 103% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 0.00–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±190%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+103%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.895% range
±190%Backtest error
19852029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.40.005.8
20262.40.005.8
20272.40.005.8
20282.50.005.8
20292.50.005.8

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording Red-necked Phalarope in BCR 2.
Kotzebue (Short)ALASKA1221994
King SalmonALASKA152023
KotzebueALASKA92024
TupuknukALASKA51995
NomeALASKA42019
Cold BayALASKA22024
Cape NomeALASKA22019
Salmon LakeALASKA22011
Cold Bay (Short)ALASKA21991
ChiniakALASKA12017
Kodiak 2ALASKA11993
CouncilALASKA12019
Gweek RiverALASKA12002

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.