Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-necked Phalarope Population Trend in Alaska

Red-necked Phalarope in Alaska has declined: down 30% on the route-weighted index since 1983.

-30%Since 1983
39Routes In State
43Years

Notable Red-necked Phalarope Trends in Alaska

No notable trend signals for Red-necked Phalarope in Alaska. See the full index history below.

Red-necked Phalarope Population Forecast in Alaska

If the recent trend holds, Red-necked Phalarope in Alaska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.26 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±93.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2029
0.26Projected 2029 index
0.001.395% range
±93.4%Backtest error
19762029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.320.001.4
20260.300.001.4
20270.290.001.4
20280.280.001.4
20290.260.001.3

Red-necked Phalarope Survey Routes in Alaska

Routes recording Red-necked Phalarope in Alaska.
Kotzebue (Short)12219941986
Utqiagvik6220232021
King Salmon1520231995
Tangle Lakes1119871987
Kotzebue920242001
Paxson Lake719971991
Monahan620131983
Galbraith L.620241994
Red Dog620232022
Tupuknuk519951995
Nome420191993
Sourdough420001989
Goose Bay319761976
Unalakleet River320012001
Slana220071994
Maclaren220241982
Cantwell220011982
Cape Nome220191993
Salmon Lake220111993
Kenny Lake219961988
Petersville219871987
Cold Bay220241994
Cold Bay (Short)219911989
Chiniak120171987
Chistochina119941990

Red-necked Phalarope Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.