Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-necked Phalarope Population Trend in Alaska
Red-necked Phalarope in Alaska has declined: down 30% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
-30%Since 1983
39Routes In State
43Years
Notable Red-necked Phalarope Trends in Alaska
No notable trend signals for Red-necked Phalarope in Alaska. See the full index history below.
Red-necked Phalarope Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Red-necked Phalarope in Alaska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.26 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±93.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-8%Change by 2029
0.26Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±93.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
Red-necked Phalarope Survey Routes in Alaska
| Kotzebue (Short) | 122 | 1994 | 1986 |
| Utqiagvik | 62 | 2023 | 2021 |
| King Salmon | 15 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Tangle Lakes | 11 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Kotzebue | 9 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Paxson Lake | 7 | 1997 | 1991 |
| Monahan | 6 | 2013 | 1983 |
| Galbraith L. | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Red Dog | 6 | 2023 | 2022 |
| Tupuknuk | 5 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Nome | 4 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Sourdough | 4 | 2000 | 1989 |
| Goose Bay | 3 | 1976 | 1976 |
| Unalakleet River | 3 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Slana | 2 | 2007 | 1994 |
| Maclaren | 2 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Cantwell | 2 | 2001 | 1982 |
| Cape Nome | 2 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Salmon Lake | 2 | 2011 | 1993 |
| Kenny Lake | 2 | 1996 | 1988 |
| Petersville | 2 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Cold Bay | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Cold Bay (Short) | 2 | 1991 | 1989 |
| Chiniak | 1 | 2017 | 1987 |
| Chistochina | 1 | 1994 | 1990 |
Red-necked Phalarope Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.