Species · Washington · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pigeon Guillemot Population Trend in Washington
Pigeon Guillemot in Washington has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
-69%Since 1973
8Routes In State
47Years
Notable Pigeon Guillemot Trends in Washington
long arc declinecomputed index
Pigeon Guillemot has fallen sharply in Washington: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Pigeon Guillemot Population Forecast in Washington
If the recent trend holds, Pigeon Guillemot in Washington is projected to fall about 77% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-77%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2595% range
±70.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
Pigeon Guillemot Survey Routes in Washington
| Deception | 11 | 1998 | 1992 |
| Ilwaco | 4 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Ozette | 3 | 1983 | 1971 |
| Port Angeles | 3 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Warm Beach 2 | 2 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Mukilteo | 2 | 2021 | 2016 |
| Warm Beach | 1 | 2016 | 1985 |
| Vashon Is. | 1 | 2019 | 2000 |
Pigeon Guillemot Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.