BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pacific Golden-Plover In BCR 2

All regionsBCR 2Shorebirds

Pacific Golden-Plover in BCR 2 has edged down: down 14% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

-14%Since 1995
11Routes In Region
31Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Pacific Golden-Plover in BCR 2. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pacific Golden-Plover in BCR 2 is projected to fall about 55% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.65 (95% range 0.00–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-55%Change by 2029
0.65Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.895% range
±69.8%Backtest error
19932029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.720.001.8
20260.710.001.8
20270.690.001.8
20280.670.001.8
20290.650.001.8

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording Pacific Golden-Plover in BCR 2.
NomeALASKA92023
St. Mary'SALASKA72014
TellerALASKA52024
KotzebueALASKA42024
Cold BayALASKA32024
Cape NomeALASKA32019
Salmon LakeALASKA31997
Gweek RiverALASKA22002
King SalmonALASKA12024
CouncilALASKA12010
Goodnews BayALASKA12005

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.