BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Least Sandpiper In BCR 2

All regionsBCR 2Shorebirds

Least Sandpiper in BCR 2 has surged: up 636% on the route-weighted index since 1985.

+636%Since 1985
15Routes In Region
41Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Least Sandpiper has surged in BCR 2: up 636% on the route-weighted index since 1985.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Least Sandpiper in BCR 2 is projected to fall about 83% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 0.00–7.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-83%Change by 2029
2.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.195% range
±51.8%Backtest error
19832029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.40.007.1
20262.40.007.1
20272.40.007.1
20282.40.007.1
20292.40.007.1

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording Least Sandpiper in BCR 2.
Cold BayALASKA1232024
King SalmonALASKA52024
Togiak RiverALASKA42004
KodiakALASKA21984
ChiniakALASKA22023
CouncilALASKA22006
St. Mary'SALASKA22011
Gweek RiverALASKA22002
TupuknukALASKA21995
Kodiak 2ALASKA12000
NomeALASKA12023
Kanektok RivALASKA12005
Goodnews BayALASKA12004
Selawik (Short)ALASKA11987
Cold Bay (Short)ALASKA11992

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.