Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black Oystercatcher Population Trend in California
Black Oystercatcher in California has increased: up 44% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
+44%Since 1973
8Routes In State
46Years
Notable Black Oystercatcher Trends in California
No notable trend signals for Black Oystercatcher in California. See the full index history below.
Black Oystercatcher Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Black Oystercatcher in California is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±116.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0895% range
±116.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2028 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2029 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
Black Oystercatcher Survey Routes in California
| Bodega Bay | 3 | 2021 | 1972 |
| Crescent Cty | 2 | 1995 | 1974 |
| Redwood N.P. | 2 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Honeydew | 1 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Harbor Lake 2 | 1 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Fish Rock | 1 | 2009 | 1973 |
| Laytonville | 1 | 1990 | 1988 |
| Morro Bay | 1 | 2012 | 1979 |
Black Oystercatcher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.