BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Woodcock In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionShorebirds

American Woodcock in Prairie Hardwood Transition has edged down: down 20% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-20%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
58Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
49YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Woodcock in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

American Woodcock In Prairie Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.02Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±77.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.020.000.04
20250.020.000.04
20260.020.000.04
20270.020.000.04
20280.020.000.04

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording American Woodcock in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA32022
FowlervilleMICHIGAN22002
DeckervilleMICHIGAN22002
TyreMICHIGAN21984
DresserWISCONSIN22006
GilmantonWISCONSIN21986
ClintonvilleWISCONSIN22010
HebronWISCONSIN21996
MiddleburyINDIANA12017
EllisINDIANA12009
Indiana DuneINDIANA12016
Big Blue LkMICHIGAN11989
BravoMICHIGAN12007
New TroyMICHIGAN11974
BeldingMICHIGAN11987
GalesburgMICHIGAN11993
HowardsvilleMICHIGAN12012
RemusMICHIGAN11988
St CharlesMICHIGAN11982
No BradleyMICHIGAN11974
OlaMICHIGAN11974
Bell OakMICHIGAN12002
HoltMICHIGAN12006
PrattvilleMICHIGAN12005
JuniataMICHIGAN11991

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.