BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Woodcock In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestShorebirds

American Woodcock in Atlantic Northern Forest has collapsed: down 83% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-83%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
73Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
50YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

American Woodcock has collapsed in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 83% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

American Woodcock In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±52.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.010.000.09
20250.010.000.08
20260.000.000.08
20270.000.000.08
20280.000.000.08

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording American Woodcock in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
GreensboroVERMONT42013
Forest StaMAINE31984
S WallingfrdVERMONT31978
Bowdoin CtrMAINE22006
Horse MtnMAINE22004
Jefferson HlNEW-HAMPSHIRE22005
NewcombNEW-YORK21986
WanakenaNEW-YORK22008
StrattonVERMONT22016
WatervilleVERMONT21972
New HartfordCONNECTICUT12004
WestbrookMAINE12008
NewcastleMAINE11991
Wilson MillsMAINE11991
BethelMAINE11990
ReedsMAINE11983
South ArmMAINE11990
Otisfield GrMAINE11966
ManchesterMAINE11980
HarmonyMAINE11987
BrooksMAINE12008
EastbrookMAINE11986
HancockMAINE11987
AuroraMAINE12012
Moose RiverMAINE11984

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.