Species · BCR 4 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Golden-Plover In BCR 4

All regions BCR 4 Shorebirds

American Golden-Plover in BCR 4 has collapsed: down 97% on the route-weighted index since 1986.

-97%Since 1986

8Routes In Region

23Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

American Golden-Plover has collapsed in BCR 4: down 97% on the route-weighted index since 1986.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Golden-Plover in BCR 4 is projected to stay roughly flat through 2023, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.35). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1058.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2023

0.00Projected 2023 index

0.00–0.3595% range

±1058.2%Backtest error

Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.

Year	Projected index	95% low	95% high
2019	0.00	0.00	0.35
2020	0.00	0.00	0.35
2021	0.00	0.00	0.35
2022	0.00	0.00	0.35
2023	0.00	0.00	0.35

Routes In BCR 4

Routes recording American Golden-Plover in BCR 4.

Chistochina	ALASKA	2	2001
Monahan	ALASKA	2	2011
Tangle Lakes	ALASKA	2	1987
Paxson Lake	ALASKA	2	1991
Maclaren	ALASKA	1	2018
Toklat	ALASKA	1	2012
Caribou Mtn.	ALASKA	1	1995
Nabesna Road	ALASKA	1	1997

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.