BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 3 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Golden-Plover In BCR 3

All regionsBCR 3Shorebirds

American Golden-Plover in BCR 3 has surged: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

+157%Since 1995
4Routes In Region
30Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Golden-Plover has surged in BCR 3: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Golden-Plover in BCR 3 is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.0 (95% range 0.21–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+0%Change by 2029
3.0Projected 2029 index
0.21–5.895% range
±77%Backtest error
19932029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.90.055.7
20262.90.095.7
20272.90.135.7
20283.00.175.8
20293.00.215.8

Routes In BCR 3

Routes recording American Golden-Plover in BCR 3.
UtqiagvikALASKA192023
Galbraith L.ALASKA102024
Red DogALASKA22024
Happy ValleyALASKA12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.