Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Golden-Plover Population Trend in Alaska
American Golden-Plover in Alaska has edged down: down 17% on the route-weighted index since 1986.
-17%Since 1986
22Routes In State
37Years
Notable American Golden-Plover Trends in Alaska
No notable trend signals for American Golden-Plover in Alaska. See the full index history below.
American Golden-Plover Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, American Golden-Plover in Alaska is projected to fall about 39% by 2029 — from 0.27 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.00–0.50). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±124%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-39%Change by 2029
0.16Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5095% range
±124%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.52 |
| 2026 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| 2027 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| 2028 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| 2029 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
American Golden-Plover Survey Routes in Alaska
| Utqiagvik | 19 | 2023 | 2021 |
| Galbraith L. | 10 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Kotzebue | 5 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Paxson Lake | 2 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Chistochina | 2 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Monahan | 2 | 2011 | 1983 |
| Council | 2 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Tangle Lakes | 2 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Nome | 2 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Teller | 2 | 2017 | 1994 |
| Red Dog | 2 | 2024 | 2022 |
| King Salmon | 2 | 1998 | 1997 |
| Nabesna Road | 1 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Maclaren | 1 | 2018 | 1982 |
| Toklat | 1 | 2012 | 1982 |
| Cape Nome | 1 | 2011 | 1993 |
| Caribou Mtn. | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Happy Valley | 1 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Salmon Lake | 1 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Sheep Mtn | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Kugarak (Short) | 1 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Goodnews Bay | 1 | 2002 | 2002 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.